Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.020222 0.021853 0.023553 0.025458 0.027536 0.029734 0.032238
2025-10-05 0.017450 0.019776 0.022332 0.025352 0.028831 0.032720 0.037410
2025-10-12 0.015754 0.018499 0.021634 0.025489 0.030120 0.035521 0.042330
2025-10-19 0.014466 0.017479 0.021029 0.025541 0.031150 0.037926 0.046788
2025-10-26 0.013405 0.016596 0.020458 0.025505 0.031967 0.040016 0.050887
2025-11-02 0.012531 0.015849 0.019962 0.025473 0.032716 0.041991 0.054885
2025-11-09 0.011610 0.014964 0.019210 0.025024 0.032850 0.043119 0.057776
2025-11-16 0.010807 0.014170 0.018510 0.024574 0.032915 0.044110 0.060483
2025-11-23 0.010237 0.013642 0.018116 0.024489 0.033438 0.045712 0.064089
2025-11-30 0.009686 0.013103 0.017669 0.024289 0.033767 0.047032 0.067336
2025-12-07 0.009213 0.012640 0.017293 0.024155 0.034160 0.048439 0.070761
2025-12-14 0.008752 0.012168 0.016875 0.023927 0.034389 0.049597 0.073854
2025-12-21 0.008374 0.011809 0.016618 0.023949 0.035030 0.051461 0.078250
2025-12-28 0.007981 0.011411 0.016286 0.023842 0.035474 0.053061 0.082358
2026-01-04 0.007687 0.011139 0.016121 0.023969 0.036271 0.055233 0.087504
2026-01-11 0.007395 0.010853 0.015916 0.024018 0.036937 0.057224 0.092467
2026-01-18 0.007104 0.010552 0.015670 0.023983 0.037460 0.058999 0.097170
2026-01-25 0.006835 0.010271 0.015439 0.023953 0.037978 0.060783 0.101986
2026-02-01 0.006491 0.009858 0.014982 0.023535 0.037828 0.061440 0.104865
2026-02-08 0.006171 0.009466 0.014539 0.023114 0.037646 0.062021 0.107628
2026-02-15 0.005948 0.009218 0.014312 0.023034 0.038029 0.063579 0.112244
2026-02-22 0.005716 0.008945 0.014032 0.022848 0.038214 0.064793 0.116290
2026-03-01 0.005511 0.008707 0.013795 0.022722 0.038493 0.066181 0.120741